Model: TipA1

CD Nueva Santa Cruz vs Virginia USC

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 20, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 1

StartStarted 51d 7h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.73% · n=68

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.73% · n=68

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 51d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Virginia USC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Virginia USCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.88Now

Max odds2.88Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD Nueva Santa CruzHOME

Virginia USCAWAY

WWWLL

Recent form

LWDWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.40

Shots on target for

3.80

7.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D2.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.73% based on n=68 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar (bo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.75

V2 BandELITEROI 9.73% · n=68

V4 BandELITEROI 9.73% · n=68

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Virginia USC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 31.2% 7D: 10.0% 15D: -0.2% 30D: 6.9%

Model insight

CD Nueva Santa Cruz – Virginia USC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.73% and 9.73%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate44.7%

Profit+9.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	CDT Real Oruro U19 - GV San Jose U19	3.00	9.73%
WIN	CD Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Linares	2.75	12.47%
LOSS	Minnesota United FC II - The Town	2.63	11.14%
LOSS	Kluczevia Stargard - Blekitni Stargard	2.80	12.47%
WIN	CS Uruguay de Coronado - Cariari Pococi	3.00	12.47%
WIN	Valerenga (W) - Malmo FF (W)	2.90	12.47%
LOSS	Ranheim 2 - NTNUI	2.90	12.47%
WIN	New York Red Bulls II - New England Revolution II	2.80	12.47%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Deportivo Muniz Reserves - CA Atlas Reserves	2	2.90	12.47%	11 Aug 15:00

Pick

2 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Giu 20, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 9.73% • n=68

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

9.73% • n=68

Start

Started 51d 7h ago

Updated

Updated 51d 19h ago