Model: TipA1
CD Platense Reserves – Motagua Reserves
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 25d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | CD Platense Reserves | Motagua Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-W-W | L-W-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-D (home) | L-W-L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.75 scored / 0.50 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 3.20 against | 6.00 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.75 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.40 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Motagua Reserves. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 17.6%
7D: 16.7%
15D: -2.1%
30D: -2.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
CD Platense Reserves – Motagua Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample85
Win Rate37.6%
Profit-3.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SK Treibach - SVG Bleiburg | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Viamaterras Miyazaki (W) - Loveledge Nagoya (W) | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Perth SC U23 - Stirling Macedonia U23 | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Fenix Reserves - Lujan Reserves | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Reipas - Atlantis | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Gornik Polkowice - Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | FK Louny - SK Steti | 2.63 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutherland Sharks U20 - Blacktown City U20 | 2 | 2.60 | 4.27% | 13 Jun 11:45 |
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 25d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 25d 21h ago