Model: TipTromba25H

Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 13, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 4h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.47% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.47% · n=79

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Charlotte Independence. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Charlotte IndependenceGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.012 | A: -0.033

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

55/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Charlotte IndependenceHOME

Hartford AthleticAWAY

WWWLL

Recent form

DLDLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.00

Shots on target for

4.40

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

5.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-D-L-L0.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.47% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.35

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.47% · n=79

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.47% · n=79

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Charlotte Independence has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -48.4% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 9.3% 30D: 9.8%

Model insight

Charlotte Independence – Hartford Athletic Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.47% and 7.47%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample28

Win Rate42.9%

Profit-1.12u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Dundalk U20 - Klub Kildare U20	2.30	7.47%
LOSS	Rakow Czestochowa II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.10	6.63%
LOSS	Dosta Bystrc - Zdar nad Sazavou	2.10	6.63%
LOSS	FCM Traiskirchen - SR Fach-Donaufeld	2.20	6.63%
LOSS	Penang U20 - Kuching City U20	2.10	6.63%
LOSS	River Plate - Rosario Central	2.20	6.63%
LOSS	QFC U20 - America RN U20	2.25	7.47%
WIN	Morocco (W) - Algeria (W)	2.10	6.63%

Pick

1 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Ago 13, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.47% • n=79

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.47% • n=79

Start

Starts in 1d 4h

Updated

Updated 3m ago