Model: TIPPSA
Cheltenham – Colchester
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 24d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.14% · n=97
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Cheltenham | Colchester |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-W | W-L-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W-W-D (home) | W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded | 1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 5.20 against | 5.60 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.40 for / 5.40 against (home) | 5.33 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Colchester has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Cheltenham – Colchester Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.14% across 97 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample113
Win Rate45.1%
Profit-1.03u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Valur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 2.16 | 4.31% |
Pick
2 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.14% • n=97
Start
Started 24d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 13h ago