Model: TIPPSH
Cologne – Heidenheim
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.97
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 16d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Cologne | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-L-D-W | W-D-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 2.00 conceded | 2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 3.60 against | 4.00 for / 4.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.33 for / 3.33 against (home) | 4.75 for / 6.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Cologne has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.87First seen
Current1.97Now
Max odds1.97Highest point
Min odds1.87Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Cologne – Heidenheim Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample308
Win Rate49.7%
Profit-11.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.97
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 16d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 19d 12h ago