Model: TipA1

Cove Rangers vs Alloa

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 23h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 18m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Alloa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AlloaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.042 | A: 0.126

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.41First seen

Current2.44Now

Max odds2.44Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cove RangersHOME

AlloaAWAY

LWWLL

Recent form

DWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.40

Shots on target for

4.00

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

2.60

Home splitW-W-D-L-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W0.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League One (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.40

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Alloa has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Alloa is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -2.3% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 17.4% 30D: 7.3%

Model insight

Cove Rangers – Alloa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample279

Win Rate41.9%

Profit+3.03u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Deportivo LSM - CA Bella Vista	2.40	4.27%
WIN	Liverpool Montevideo Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	2.63	4.27%
LOSS	Dacia Buiucani - FC Milsami	2.15	3.75%
LOSS	CS Vulturii Farcasesti - CS U Craiova II	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Komarom VSE - MTE 1904	2.45	4.27%
WIN	Cadiz Mirandilla - Club Atletico Central	2.60	4.27%
WIN	Itabirito U20 - Coimbra U20	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	Wimborne Town - Hanworth Villa	2.20	3.75%

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Pick

2 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Starts in 2d 23h

Updated

Updated 18m ago