Croydon Athletic – Burgess Hill Town

Model: TIPPSH

Croydon Athletic vs Burgess Hill Town

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 23h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Croydon Athletic. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Croydon AthleticGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Croydon AthleticHOME
VS
Burgess Hill TownAWAY
WWLDW
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.60
Shots on target for
2.00
1.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
3.20
Home splitW-D-W1.33 scored / 0.33 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Croydon Athletic has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 26.1% 7D: 0.0% 15D: 10.9% 30D: 8.4%
Model insight

Croydon Athletic – Burgess Hill Town Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample39
Win Rate33.3%
Profit-0.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINQueretaro - Tigres UANL3.134.53%
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LOSSHamburger SV (W) - Everton (W)3.104.53%
LOSSFC Vaduz - St Gallen3.044.53%
LOSSHuntsville City - Crown Legacy2.834.53%
WINGimnasia Mendoza - Union Santa Fe3.002.04%
LOSSIndependiente FBC - Deportivo Capiata2.764.53%
LOSSKF Fjallabyggd - Reynir Sandgerdi3.004.53%
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Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 23h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 1h ago
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