Model: TipA1
Cruz Azul (W) – Unam Pumas (W)
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 1:45 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 31d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.16% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Cruz Azul (W) | Unam Pumas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-L | D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | D (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.67 for / 7.67 against | 4.67 for / 4.33 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 1.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.33First seen
Current4.11Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds4.11Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Cruz Azul (W) – Unam Pumas (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.16% across 106 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+0.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Independiente FBC - Deportivo Santaní | 3.90 | 5.16% |
| WIN | Terengganu - Imigresen FC | 4.20 | 5.16% |
| LOSS | PT Satun - Thonburi United FC | 4.00 | 5.16% |
| LOSS | CA Sarmiento de la Banda - Juventud Antoniana | 3.90 | 5.16% |
| LOSS | Orzel Kolno - Krypnianka Krypno | 4.00 | 5.16% |
| LOSS | Real Oruro - Blooming | 4.00 | 5.16% |
| LOSS | EC Primavera MT - Vila Nova | 4.10 | 5.16% |
Pick
2 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 1:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.16% • n=106
Start
Started 31d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 3h ago