Cruz Azul (W) – Unam Pumas (W)

Model: TipA1

Cruz Azul (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 1:45 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 85d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.16% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 88d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Unam Pumas (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Unam Pumas (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.33First seen
Current4.11Now
Max odds4.33Highest point
Min odds4.11Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Cruz Azul (W)HOME
VS
Unam Pumas (W)AWAY
DWL
Recent form
DDL
Avg goals scored
2.33
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.33
2.00
Shots on target for
4.67
4.67
SoT conceded pressure
7.67
4.33
Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.10. The V2 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.16% based on n=106 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX Femenil (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.10
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.16% · n=106
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 2.4% 7D: 2.5% 15D: 18.7% 30D: 15.8%
Model insight

Cruz Azul (W) – Unam Pumas (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.16% across 106 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+0.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINIndependiente FBC - Deportivo Santaní3.905.16%
WINTerengganu - Imigresen FC4.205.16%
LOSSPT Satun - Thonburi United FC4.005.16%
LOSSCA Sarmiento de la Banda - Juventud Antoniana3.905.16%
LOSSOrzel Kolno - Krypnianka Krypno4.005.16%
LOSSReal Oruro - Blooming4.005.16%
LOSSEC Primavera MT - Vila Nova4.105.16%
Pick
2 @ 4.10
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 1:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.16% • n=106
Start
Started 85d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 88d 12h ago
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