Defensores Del Ilucan (W) – FBC Melgar (W)

Model: TipTromba9H

Defensores Del Ilucan (W) vs FBC Melgar (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 75d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.74% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 76d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Defensores Del Ilucan (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Defensores Del Ilucan (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds8.00First seen
Current8.00Now
Max odds8.00Highest point
Min odds8.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Defensores Del Ilucan (W)HOME
VS
FBC Melgar (W)AWAY
W
Recent form
L
Avg goals scored
3.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
3.00
Shots on target for
6.00
10.00
SoT conceded pressure
10.00
6.00
Home splitW3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.74% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Campeonato Nacional Women (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandLOWROI 0.74% · n=79
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Defensores Del Ilucan (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 28.6% 7D: 9.2% 15D: 11.7% 30D: 17.0%
Model insight

Defensores Del Ilucan (W) – FBC Melgar (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.74% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate19.4%
Profit+20.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSApotheos - Dothan United8.001.02%
LOSSDundela - Glentoran8.001.07%
WINKJP - PeKa8.001.07%
LOSSGeneral Caballero Campo Grande - 29 de Septiembre FBC8.001.07%
LOSSDefensa y Justicia (W) - Rosario Central (W)8.001.02%
LOSSDefensor Sporting (W) - Nacional De Football (W)8.001.07%
LOSSNordstrand - Asker8.001.02%
LOSSUnion Minas - Sport Huancayo8.001.07%
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.74% • n=79
Start
Started 75d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 76d 16h ago
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