Model: TipTromba2H

Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes Merida

PREDICTION

@ 1.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 31, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 16h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo La Guaira. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo La GuairaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.051 | A: -0.018

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo La GuairaHOME

Estudiantes MeridaAWAY

WWWLW

Recent form

DWLWD

Avg goals scored

3.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

8.80

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.40

Home splitW-L-L-L-D1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Primera Division (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.50

V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Deportivo La Guaira has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 7.9% 7D: 27.4% 15D: 16.1% 30D: 12.2%

Model insight

Deportivo La Guaira – Estudiantes Merida Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample598

Win Rate64.4%

Profit+20.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Athletic Bilbao B (W) - Real Oviedo (W)	1.62	-3.82%
WIN	Metrostars Reserves - Sturt Lions Reserves	1.57	-3.38%
WIN	Tokyo United FC - Tokyo 23 FC	1.50	-3.38%
LOSS	Lech Poznan II - Grom Nowy Staw	1.67	-3.82%
WIN	Gloria Bistrita - CSM Satu Mare	1.53	-1.89%
WIN	Umlyngka SC - Umphrup FC	1.70	-1.89%
WIN	ZFK Masinac (W) - ZFK Radnicki 1923 (W)	1.62	-3.82%
WIN	Taby FK - IK Franke	1.65	-1.89%

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Pick

1 @ 1.50

Kickoff

Ago 31, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.89% • n=1157

Start

Starts in 16h

Updated

Updated 1d 9h ago