Deportivo Moquegua vs AD Tarma
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is AD Tarma. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AD TarmaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.27. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.04% based on n=73 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Peru Liga 1 (pe). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. AD Tarma has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Deportivo Moquegua – AD Tarma Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hodd - Moss | 3.04 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Junior - Millonarios | 3.32 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Leamington - Yate Town | 3.50 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | CD Trasandino de Los Andes - General Velásquez | 3.46 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Shandong Taishan - Henan | 3.36 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Union Berlin (W) - Hamburger SV (W) | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Universitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta | 3.50 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Westerlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 3.34 | 4.77% |