Model: TipA1
Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 13d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-W | W-W-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 0.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 5.80 against | 5.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.67 for / 4.67 against (home) | 3.50 for / 4.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Deportes Tolima. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Deportes Tolima is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.11First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.70Highest point
Min odds3.11Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Deportivo Pasto – Deportes Tolima Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.30% across 159 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+1.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Agropecuario Reserves - All Boys Reserves | 3.50 | -3.74% |
| WIN | UE Castelldefels - Jupiter CE | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Bentleigh Greens - Northcote City | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Dorogi FC - Komarom VSE | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Rockdale Ilinden FC - Sydney FC U21 | 3.40 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Fu Jen University - Inter Taoyuan FC | 3.40 | -2.30% |
| WIN | FC Pisek - FK Admira Praha | 3.40 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Muniz Reserves - Juventud Unida San Miguel Reserves | 3.50 | -2.30% |
Pick
2 @ 3.60
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.30% • n=159
Start
Started 13d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 15d 5h ago