Model: TIPPSA

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers

PREDICTION

@ 9.15

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarted 16m ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2h 25m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sligo Rovers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sligo RoversGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.032 | A: 0.026

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds7.09First seen

Current9.15Now

Max odds9.15Highest point

Min odds7.06Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Derry CityHOME

Sligo RoversAWAY

WDLLW

Recent form

LDDWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.00

Shots on target for

5.00

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

2.80

Home splitW-L-W-L-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 9.15. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Premier Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd9.15

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 3.5% 7D: 18.6% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 11.1%

Model insight

Derry City – Sligo Rovers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 9.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 9.15

Kickoff

Ago 07, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 16m ago

Updated

Updated 2h 25m ago