Desenzano vs Giana Erminio
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Desenzano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: DesenzanoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.003Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.61% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Desenzano is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Desenzano – Giana Erminio Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | HPS (W) - KuPS (W) | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Parceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Yeclano - FC Cartagena | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Schalke - Atalanta | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| WIN | Breidablik (W) - Dinamo-BGU (W) | 3.10 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Nyiregyhaza II - DEAC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Goztepe - Trabzonspor | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | SV Tillmitsch - SC Kalsdorf | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Robina City | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 09 Aug 08:00 |
| FC Jazz - OLS | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 09 Aug 17:30 |