Desenzano – Trento

Model: TIPPSH

Desenzano vs Trento

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.07
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 31, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 7h 44m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.58% · n=51
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Desenzano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: DesenzanoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.021 | A: 0.022

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current3.07Now
Max odds3.30Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DesenzanoHOME
VS
TrentoAWAY
DDDWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.00
Shots on target for
4.25
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.50
4.00
Home splitD-W1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.07. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Group A (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.07
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandNONEROI -2.58% · n=51
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 0.1% 7D: 14.7% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 7.8%
Model insight

Desenzano – Trento Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.58% across 51 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate41.3%
Profit+15.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Zurich II - FC Schaffhausen2.924.53%
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LOSSCD Universitario - CD Arabe Unido2.854.53%
LOSSCosenza - Potenza3.004.53%
LOSSBayer Leverkusen (W) - Wolfsburg (W)3.124.53%
WINRanders FC - AGF Aarhus3.204.53%
WINSabadell - Almeria3.014.53%
LOSSGimpo FC - Suwon Bluewings3.202.04%
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Pick
1 @ 3.07
Kickoff
Ago 31, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.58% • n=51
Start
Starts in 7h 44m
Updated
Updated 7m ago
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