Desenzano vs Trento
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Desenzano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: DesenzanoGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.021 | A: 0.022Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.07. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie C Group A (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Desenzano – Trento Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Zurich II - FC Schaffhausen | 2.92 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Trujillanos - Monagas | 3.13 | 2.04% |
| LOSS | CD Universitario - CD Arabe Unido | 2.85 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Cosenza - Potenza | 3.00 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Bayer Leverkusen (W) - Wolfsburg (W) | 3.12 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Randers FC - AGF Aarhus | 3.20 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Sabadell - Almeria | 3.01 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Gimpo FC - Suwon Bluewings | 3.20 | 2.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.09 | 4.53% | 21 Jul 19:00 |
| FC Elimai Semey - Kairat Almaty | 1 | 3.10 | 4.53% | 31 Aug 16:00 |
| Bristol City U21 - Sheff Utd U21 | 1 | 2.85 | 2.79% | 01 Sep 14:00 |
| El Gounah - Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 1 | 2.91 | 4.53% | 02 Sep 16:00 |
| Bohemians 1905 - FK Jablonec | 1 | 2.85 | 4.53% | 02 Sep 20:00 |