DSG Ferlach – TSV Grafenstein

Model: TipTromba9H

DSG Ferlach vs TSV Grafenstein

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 18h 46m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=77
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is DSG Ferlach. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: DSG Ferlach

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current8.30Now
Max odds8.30Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

DSG FerlachHOME
VS
TSV GrafensteinAWAY
N/A
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
N/A
4.00
Defensive weakness
N/A
1.80
Shots on target for
N/A
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
N/A
5.00
Home splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-W3.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=77 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria Amateur Cup (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=77
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.8% 7D: -9.9% 15D: -4.3% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

DSG Ferlach – TSV Grafenstein Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 77 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample37
Win Rate18.9%
Profit+19.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINKJP - PeKa8.001.07%
LOSSGeneral Caballero Campo Grande - 29 de Septiembre FBC8.001.07%
LOSSDefensa y Justicia (W) - Rosario Central (W)8.001.02%
LOSSDefensor Sporting (W) - Nacional De Football (W)8.001.07%
LOSSNordstrand - Asker8.001.02%
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=77
Start
Starts in 18h 46m
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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