Model: TIPPSA

Dukla Praha vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

PREDICTION

@ 4.72

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 24, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS2 - 0

StartStarted 46d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.64% · n=27

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.64% · n=27

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Arsenal Ceska Lipa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Arsenal Ceska LipaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.003 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

76/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.50First seen

Current5.25Now

Max odds6.34Highest point

Min odds5.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Dukla PrahaHOME

Arsenal Ceska LipaAWAY

WDDLL

Recent form

LDWLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

2.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.40

Home splitW-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.72. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.64% based on n=27 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia 2. Liga (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd4.72

V2 BandELITEROI 8.64% · n=27

V4 BandELITEROI 8.64% · n=27

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Arsenal Ceska Lipa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 41.3% 7D: 30.3% 15D: 23.1% 30D: 24.2%

Model insight

Dukla Praha – Arsenal Ceska Lipa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.64% and 8.64%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

2 @ 4.72

Kickoff

Lug 24, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.64% • n=27

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.64% • n=27

Start

Started 46d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 10h ago