Eastern SC – Tai Po

Model: TIPPSH

Eastern SC vs Tai Po

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 4
StartStarted 64d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Eastern SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Eastern SC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.74First seen
Current2.90Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.58Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Eastern SCHOME
VS
Tai PoAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WWWW
Avg goals scored
2.40
3.25
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.25
Shots on target for
6.20
5.25
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-D2.75 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitW-W3.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.90. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.20% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hong Kong Premier League (hk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.90
V2 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -34.8% 7D: -14.0% 15D: -8.5% 30D: 6.2%
Model insight

Eastern SC – Tai Po Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample35
Win Rate31.4%
Profit-2.92u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK2.82-2.37%
LOSSBrazil (W) - USA (W)3.09-2.37%
LOSSPanama (W) - Jamaica (W)2.80-2.37%
WINAtlantis - HIFK 22.77-2.37%
WINAnapolis FC - Paysandu3.00-2.37%
LOSSSuva FC - Lautoka FC3.15-2.37%
LOSSHERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)2.80-1.00%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
Pick
1 @ 2.90
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 64d ago
Updated
Updated 64d 23h ago
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