EC Campo Grande – Comercial MS

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

EC Campo Grande vs Comercial MS

PREDICTION
1
@ 15.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 19, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 13h 8m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.33% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15h 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is EC Campo Grande. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EC Campo GrandeGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.62First seen
Current18.50Now
Max odds18.50Highest point
Min odds5.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

EC Campo GrandeHOME
VS
Comercial MSAWAY
LL
Recent form
WDW
Avg goals scored
0.50
2.33
Defensive weakness
2.50
1.00
Shots on target for
5.50
5.50
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
7.00
Home splitL-L0.50 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitW-W3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 15.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.33% based on n=16 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd15.00
V2 BandNONEROI -0.33% · n=16
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor EC Campo Grande. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 32.3% 7D: 19.4% 15D: 11.6% 30D: 19.5%
Model insight

EC Campo Grande – Comercial MS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 15.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.33% across 16 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-4.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSUlverstone - Launceston City15.00-0.33%
LOSSUpesciema Warriors - JFK Ventspils15.00-0.33%
LOSSKolos Kovalivka (W) - FC Metalist 1925 (W)15.00-0.33%
Pick
1 @ 15.00
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.33% • n=16
Start
Started 13h 8m ago
Updated
Updated 15h 12m ago
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