Model: TipTromba5H
EC Juventude U20 – Bahia U20
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 10, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 6d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.25% · n=123
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | EC Juventude U20 | Bahia U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-L-W | L-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-L-W (home) | L-D-D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.60 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 3.20 against | 3.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.40 for / 2.00 against (home) | 7.00 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, EC Juventude U20 has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to EC Juventude U20's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 43.2%
7D: -3.7%
15D: -0.6%
30D: 14.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current4.67Now
Max odds4.67Highest point
Min odds3.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
EC Juventude U20 – Bahia U20 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.25% and 6.25%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate30.8%
Profit+5.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hang Sai - Gala | 4.50 | 6.25% |
| LOSS | Sydney University (W) - APIA Leichardt (W) | 4.75 | 7.69% |
| LOSS | China PR Youth - DR Congo Youth | 4.50 | 6.25% |
| LOSS | Lecco U19 - Cremonese U19 | 4.50 | 6.25% |
| LOSS | JVW FC (W) B - Hallelujah Zebra Force (W) | 4.50 | 6.25% |
| LOSS | Hohenems - FC Wacker Innsbruck | 4.50 | 7.29% |
| WIN | Central Espanol Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves | 4.50 | 6.25% |
| WIN | NK Kamen Podbablje - NK Zagora | 4.75 | 7.59% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Zemamra - Raja Casablanca | 1 | 4.50 | 6.25% | 17 Jun 17:00 |
| Dalian Kewei - Liaoning Ironman | 1 | 4.50 | 6.25% | 19 Jun 09:30 |
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Giu 10, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.25% • n=123
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.25% • n=123
Start
Started 6d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 8d ago