El Nacional vs Club 9 de Octubre
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is El Nacional. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: El NacionalGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.010 | A: 0.023Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.05% based on n=54 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie B (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. El Nacional has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
El Nacional – Club 9 de Octubre Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | UNSAAC (W) - Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | Holstebro - AaB | 8.50 | -7.07% |
| LOSS | Moldova Beach - Italy Beach | 8.50 | -0.15% |
| LOSS | Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves - Club Guarani Reserves | 8.50 | -6.42% |
| LOSS | Broadmeadow Magic (W) - New Lambton FC (W) | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 - First Vienna FC 1894 | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | Anjos do Ceu FC U20 - CEFAT Tirol U20 | 8.50 | -6.05% |
| LOSS | FC Dornbirn 1913 - SV Ried | 8.50 | -6.05% |