Model: TIPPSH

Erbil SC vs Newroz SC

PREDICTION

@ 1.64

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 56d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Erbil SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Erbil SC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

2/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.48First seen

Current1.64Now

Max odds1.64Highest point

Min odds1.48Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Erbil SCHOME

Newroz SCAWAY

LWDWW

Recent form

WLLWD

Avg goals scored

2.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

6.60

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

3.40

Home splitL-D-W-W-D1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-D-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.64

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Erbil SC as the more reliable side. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Erbil SC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 16.8% 7D: 9.8% 15D: 4.8% 30D: 1.6%

Model insight

Erbil SC – Newroz SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 1.64

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 56d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 5h ago