Model: TIPPSH
Essendon Royals (W) – Box Hill (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.49
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN7 - 1
StartStarted 3d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Essendon Royals (W) | Box Hill (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-D-W | L-W-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D-W (home) | L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 4.25 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 11.60 for / 3.60 against | 4.60 for / 2.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 2.33 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Essendon Royals (W)'s attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current2.49Now
Max odds2.49Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Essendon Royals (W) – Box Hill (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+4.13u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk - Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 2.34 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | KS Mszczonowianka - Wilga Garwolin | 2.41 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.49
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 3d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 16h ago