Essendon Royals (W) – Box Hill (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Essendon Royals (W) vs Box Hill (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.49
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN7 - 1
StartStarted 50d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Essendon Royals (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Essendon Royals (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.48First seen
Current2.49Now
Max odds2.49Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Essendon Royals (W)HOME
VS
Box Hill (W)AWAY
WWDDW
Recent form
LWWLD
Avg goals scored
4.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.20
Shots on target for
11.60
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
2.80
Home splitW-W-D-W4.25 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-W1.00 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.49. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.49
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Essendon Royals (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Essendon Royals (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 59.6% 7D: 43.9% 15D: 25.8% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

Essendon Royals (W) – Box Hill (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.49. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample66
Win Rate47.0%
Profit+8.92u
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Pick
1 @ 2.49
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 50d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 4h ago
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