Everton vs Crystal Palace
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Crystal Palace. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Crystal PalaceGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: -0.147Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.36. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.77% based on n=237 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Premier League (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Everton – Crystal Palace Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Dundee Utd - Dundee | 3.45 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Dungannon Swifts Reserves - Linfield Reserves | 3.23 | 3.61% |
| LOSS | New Mexico United - Tulsa | 3.14 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | York - Bristol Rovers | 3.36 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Bandirmaspor - Istanbulspor | 3.47 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Kickers Offenbach - FC Astoria Walldorf | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Vitoria - Athletico Paranaense | 3.47 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Junior - Millonarios | 3.32 | 4.77% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herediano - Sporting San Jose | 2 | 3.38 | 4.77% | 23 Aug 04:00 |