Exeter – Bristol City

Model: TIPPSH

Exeter vs Bristol City

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.26
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1h 8m
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.08% · n=28
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 35m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Exeter. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ExeterGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.019 | A: 0.151

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

65/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current3.26Now
Max odds3.26Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ExeterHOME
VS
Bristol CityAWAY
LWLLD
Recent form
DWLWL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
4.00
Home splitL-D-W2.33 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitD-L-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.26. The V2 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.08% based on n=28 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.26
V2 BandELITEROI 8.08% · n=28
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 41.3% 7D: 8.0% 15D: 12.7% 30D: 9.6%
Model insight

Exeter – Bristol City Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is ELITE, with a historical expected ROI of 8.08% across 28 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate83.3%
Profit+9.64u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSK Olympia Rajecko - Zdar nad Sazavou3.3013.35%
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WINEngland (W) - Spain (W)3.149.53%
WINTahiti United - Solomon Kings FC3.109.53%
WINCrystal Palace - Newcastle3.079.53%
LOSSFC Bejaia (W) - ASE Alger Centre (W)3.249.53%
Pick
1 @ 3.26
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.08% • n=28
Start
Starts in 1h 8m
Updated
Updated 3h 35m ago
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