Model: TIPPSA

FC Brumov vs SFK Holesov

PREDICTION

@ 2.31

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 12:15 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 3

StartStarted 1d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SFK Holesov. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SFK HolesovGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.067 | A: 0.135

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.31Now

Max odds2.34Highest point

Min odds2.29Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC BrumovHOME

SFK HolesovAWAY

DLWLL

Recent form

DWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

3.20

1.80

Shots on target for

3.60

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

3.40

Home splitD-L-L-L-W1.40 scored / 2.40 conceded

Away splitD-D-L-L-W1.80 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.31. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia 4. Liga (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.31

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors SFK Holesov. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. SFK Holesov has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -5.2% 7D: 18.3% 15D: 13.3% 30D: 11.3%

Model insight

FC Brumov – SFK Holesov Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample194

Win Rate43.3%

Profit+1.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Asyut Petroleum - National Bank	2.26	4.13%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Always Ready	2.07	2.63%
LOSS	Hartberg - SV Ried	2.50	4.13%
LOSS	Samgurali - FC Rustavi	2.33	4.13%
WIN	Chattanooga Red Wolves - AC Boise	2.26	4.13%
LOSS	KVC Houtvenne - OH Leuven II	2.41	3.59%
WIN	Leighton Town - Bury Town	2.41	3.59%
LOSS	Aldershot - Harrogate Town	2.23	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.31

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 12:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 1d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago