FC Honka (W) – EBK (W)

Model: TipA1

FC Honka (W) vs EBK (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 03, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 54d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.85% · n=318
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is EBK (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: EBK (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

11/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.83First seen
Current2.02Now
Max odds2.05Highest point
Min odds1.83Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Honka (W)HOME
VS
EBK (W)AWAY
DLWWD
Recent form
DWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.80
Shots on target for
5.60
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
2.00
Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-W-W3.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.85% based on n=318 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Ykkonen Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.00
V2 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
V4 BandNONEROI -3.85% · n=318
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives EBK (W) a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 87.2% 7D: 57.2% 15D: 29.8% 30D: 11.0%
Model insight

FC Honka (W) – EBK (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.85% and -3.85%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Lug 03, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.85% • n=318
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.85% • n=318
Start
Started 54d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 23h ago
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