FC Tatran Presov (W) – Spartak Trnava (W)

Model: TipA1

FC Tatran Presov (W) vs Spartak Trnava (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 1d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.37% · n=123
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Spartak Trnava (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Spartak Trnava (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current4.31Now
Max odds11.40Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC Tatran Presov (W)HOME
VS
Spartak Trnava (W)AWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WLWWD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
4.60
0.60
Shots on target for
7.00
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
12.00
2.00
Home splitL-L-L-L-W1.60 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-L0.75 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.37% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovakia I Liga Women (sk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.37% · n=123
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Spartak Trnava (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -33.7% 7D: -19.0% 15D: 5.9% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

FC Tatran Presov (W) – Spartak Trnava (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.37% across 123 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample32
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+0.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBlooming - Club Aurora4.204.37%
LOSSSC Kalsdorf - SV Allerheiligen4.004.37%
LOSSBiel Bienne - YF Juventus4.004.37%
LOSSSSK Bilovec - Opava B4.204.73%
WINBuducnost Podgorica - FK Decic Tuzi4.002.27%
LOSSInter de Limeira - Volta Redonda4.202.27%
LOSSRouen - Cannes4.004.37%
LOSSMaccabi Haifa - Ironi Tiberias4.104.37%
Pick
2 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.37% • n=123
Start
Started 1d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 13h ago
Torna in alto