Ferroviario Lichinga – Costa Do Sol

Model: TIPPSA

Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa Do Sol

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.44
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 4:45 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 44d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Costa Do Sol. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Costa Do SolGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

55/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.44Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ferroviario LichingaHOME
VS
Costa Do SolAWAY
WDLD
Recent form
LDWDL
Avg goals scored
0.75
1.00
Defensive weakness
0.75
1.20
Shots on target for
1.00
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.50
5.00
Home splitW2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-D-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.44. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.77% based on n=237 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mozambique Mocambola (mz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.44
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.77% · n=237
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Costa Do Sol's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -1.9% 7D: 1.6% 15D: -5.9% 30D: -1.3%
Model insight

Ferroviario Lichinga – Costa Do Sol Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.44. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.77% across 237 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample58
Win Rate25.9%
Profit-7.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBandirmaspor - Istanbulspor3.474.77%
LOSSKickers Offenbach - FC Astoria Walldorf3.304.77%
LOSSVitoria - Athletico Paranaense3.474.77%
LOSSFC Viktoriya Sumy - Kolos Kovalivka II3.684.77%
WINJunior - Millonarios3.324.77%
LOSSLeamington - Yate Town3.503.84%
LOSSCD Trasandino de Los Andes - General Velásquez3.464.77%
WINShandong Taishan - Henan3.363.84%
Pick
2 @ 3.44
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 4:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.77% • n=237
Start
Started 44d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 15h ago
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