Model: TIPPSH
FK Backa Topola – Javor Ivanjica
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 10, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN6 - 1
StartStarted 16d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 16d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | FK Backa Topola | Javor Ivanjica |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-W-W | L-D-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-L (home) | L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.75 conceded | 1.67 scored / 3.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.00 for / 3.20 against | 4.00 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.75 for / 4.00 against (home) | 3.67 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward FK Backa Topola as the more reliable side. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. FK Backa Topola is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.44First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.44Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
FK Backa Topola – Javor Ivanjica Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample202
Win Rate54.5%
Profit+4.84u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Monarchs SLC - Colorado Rapids II | 1.76 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Mag 10, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 16d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 16d 21h ago