FK Ulytau – FK Kaspyi Aktau

Model: TipTromba25H

FK Ulytau vs FK Kaspyi Aktau

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 56d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=38
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI 0.00% · n=38
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Ulytau. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Ulytau

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.24Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK UlytauHOME
VS
FK Kaspyi AktauAWAY
WDWLL
Recent form
LWWLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
6.20
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.80
Home splitW-D-W-W-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L0.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.20. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of 0.00% based on n=38 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Premier League (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.20
V2 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=38
V4 BandNONEROI 0.00% · n=38
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. FK Ulytau is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 11.7% 7D: 7.8% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

FK Ulytau – FK Kaspyi Aktau Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba25H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.00% and 0.00%. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate25.0%
Profit-1.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMantova U19 - Pro Patria U192.150.00%
LOSSVikingur Olafsvik - Kormakur/Hvot2.000.00%
LOSSBrisbane Olympic FC - Eastern Suburbs2.150.00%
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.00% • n=38
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.00% • n=38
Start
Started 56d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 12h ago
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