Model: TipTromba2H

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) vs FA Siauliai (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 27, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 45d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.22% · n=70

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.22% · n=70

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.40First seen

Current1.53Now

Max odds1.53Highest point

Min odds1.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)HOME

FA Siauliai (W)AWAY

WWDLD

Recent form

LWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.67

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.00

Shots on target for

9.80

1.33

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

9.33

Home splitW-W-D-W2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.22% based on n=70 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania A Lyga Women (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandLOWROI 1.22% · n=70

V4 BandLOWROI 1.22% · n=70

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.4% 7D: 31.5% 15D: 21.5% 30D: 6.3%

Model insight

FK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) – FA Siauliai (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.22% and 1.22%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample4

Win Rate75.0%

Profit+0.67u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Colo Colo - O'Higgins	1.57	1.22%
WIN	Envigado U19 - Real Santuario U19	1.57	1.22%
LOSS	Quinns FC Reserves - Mandurah City FC Reserves	1.50	1.22%

Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Mag 27, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.22% • n=70

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.22% • n=70

Start

Started 45d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 20h ago