Model: TipA1

FM Klaipedos vs Suduva Marijampole II

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 1h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.85% · n=441

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Suduva Marijampole II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Suduva Marijampole IIGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.050 | A: 0.107

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.63First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.63Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FM KlaipedosHOME

Suduva Marijampole IIAWAY

LWWWD

Recent form

WDWLL

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.20

Shots on target for

3.20

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

4.60

Home splitW-W-W-L-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.85% based on n=441 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania II Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.27% · n=1151

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.85% · n=441

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Suduva Marijampole II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 44.2% 7D: 23.3% 15D: 6.3% 30D: 12.5%

Model insight

FM Klaipedos – Suduva Marijampole II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.27% across 1151 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.85% across 441 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample120

Win Rate39.2%

Profit+0.13u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Cerro Largo Reserves - Atletico River Plate Reserves	2.90	4.44%
LOSS	Torns IF - Staffanstorp United	2.60	4.27%
LOSS	Metropolitanos FC - Academia Puerto Cabello	2.70	4.27%
LOSS	Atlantis II - FC Lahti II	2.60	4.27%
WIN	Ruthin Town FC - Holyhead Hotspur	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 - University NSW	2.60	4.27%
WIN	FC Balti - Dacia Buiucani	2.55	4.27%
WIN	Deportivo Laferrere Reserves - CA Brown de Adrogue Reserves	2.50	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - Stal Stalowa Wola	2	2.60	4.27%	05 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Ago 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.27% • n=1151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.85% • n=441

Start

Starts in 1d 1h

Updated

Updated 9m ago