Model: TIPPSH
Fram Reykjavik – Valur Reykjavik
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 32d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Fram Reykjavik | Valur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-L-W | L-L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-D-L (home) | L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.20 scored / 2.20 conceded | 2.67 scored / 3.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 7.20 for / 4.60 against | 4.00 for / 7.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.60 for / 5.60 against (home) | 6.00 for / 12.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Fram Reykjavik a useful statistical edge. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Fram Reykjavik's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -16.4%
7D: -17.0%
15D: -4.6%
30D: 9.0%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.98First seen
Current2.02Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.97Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Fram Reykjavik – Valur Reykjavik Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample277
Win Rate51.3%
Profit-4.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Real Sociedad (W) - Atletico Madrid (W) | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | IR Reykjavik - IF Vestri | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 32d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 3h ago