Model: TipTromba3H
Genesis de Comayagua – Olancho FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 1:45 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 10d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=188
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 13h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Genesis de Comayagua | Olancho FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-D-D-W | D-L-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-L-L (home) | D-W-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 4.40 against | 4.20 for / 6.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.40 for / 3.20 against (home) | 4.60 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Genesis de Comayagua's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current2.64Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Genesis de Comayagua – Olancho FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 188 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample111
Win Rate38.7%
Profit+2.85u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
Pick
1 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 1:45 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.23% • n=188
Start
Started 10d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 13h ago