Gladesville Ravens (W) – NWS Spirit (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Gladesville Ravens (W) vs NWS Spirit (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 27, 2026 2:10 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 0
StartStarted 22h 44m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=235
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NWS Spirit (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NWS Spirit (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.134 | A: 0.037

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

20/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current2.20Now
Max odds2.20Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gladesville Ravens (W)HOME
VS
NWS Spirit (W)AWAY
WLLLL
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
3.00
1.60
Shots on target for
6.60
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
5.80
Home splitW-L-L-D-D1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.13. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales NPL Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.13
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=235
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.0% 7D: 25.9% 15D: 8.2% 30D: 9.1%
Model insight

Gladesville Ravens (W) – NWS Spirit (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.84% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample95
Win Rate42.1%
Profit-10.19u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSReynir Sandgerdi - Vidir Gardur2.09-0.84%
WINFK Qarabag - FC Twente2.11-0.84%
LOSSFerencvarosi TC - Trabzonspor2.07-0.84%
WINHradec Kralove - Panathinaikos2.15-0.84%
LOSSAl Zulfi - Al Wehda Mecca2.24-0.84%
LOSSJK Trans Narva - JK Nomme Kalju2.04-0.84%
WINLokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali2.13-0.84%
LOSSMosta FC - Balzan FC2.19-0.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Ago 27, 2026 2:10 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=235
Start
Started 22h 44m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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