Model: TIPPSH

Green Gully vs Bentleigh Greens

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 03, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 6h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Green Gully. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Green Gully

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.60First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.60Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Green GullyHOME

Bentleigh GreensAWAY

WLLDL

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

3.40

Shots on target for

3.80

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

7.20

Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.00 scored / 3.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.40

V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Green Gully shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Green Gully has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.6% 7D: 39.0% 15D: 17.7% 30D: 6.5%

Model insight

Green Gully – Bentleigh Greens Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample11

Win Rate63.6%

Profit+6.15u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Heidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23	2.63	8.94%
WIN	Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC	2.51	8.94%
WIN	FC Livyi Bereh - PFC Oleksandria	2.25	8.94%
LOSS	Myanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W)	2.45	11.02%
WIN	Instituto AC Cordoba - Lanus	2.44	8.94%
LOSS	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - River Plate (W)	2.46	8.94%
WIN	SV Caiquetio - SV Brazil Juniors	2.39	8.94%
WIN	FC Blau Weiss Linz - SCR Altach	2.30	10.00%

Pick

1 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Lug 03, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.94% • n=311

Start

Starts in 1d 6h

Updated

Updated 5h ago