Model: TIPPSH

Guangxi Hengchen vs Shandong Taishan

PREDICTION

@ 4.64

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 20, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 5

StartStarted 46d 10h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guangxi Hengchen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guangxi HengchenGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.17First seen

Current4.63Now

Max odds4.63Highest point

Min odds4.11Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guangxi HengchenHOME

Shandong TaishanAWAY

LDDDW

Recent form

WLDLW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

Shots on target for

3.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

5.00

Home splitL-D-D-W-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-W-L1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.64. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.63% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China FA Cup (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.64

V2 BandLOWROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Guangxi Hengchen as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 11.3% 7D: 5.0% 15D: -1.3% 30D: 7.3%

Model insight

Guangxi Hengchen – Shandong Taishan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.63% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample1

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-1.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	HSC Hannover - Kickers Emden	4.73	0.63%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FK Teplice - Viktoria Plzen	1	4.66	0.63%	08 Aug 17:00

Pick

1 @ 4.64

Kickoff

Giu 20, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.63% • n=79

Start

Started 46d 10h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 12h ago