Guarani de Paripueira (W) – Sao Jose SP (W)

Model: TipTromba15H

Guarani de Paripueira (W) vs Sao Jose SP (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 13.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 4
StartStarted 72d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.22% · n=34
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 73d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guarani de Paripueira (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guarani de Paripueira (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds17.00First seen
Current13.00Now
Max odds27.00Highest point
Min odds13.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Guarani de Paripueira (W)HOME
VS
Sao Jose SP (W)AWAY
LLLL
Recent form
WLLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.75
Defensive weakness
2.50
2.75
Shots on target for
2.33
4.75
SoT conceded pressure
6.67
6.25
Home splitL-L-L1.33 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L2.33 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 13.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.22% based on n=34 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa do Brazil Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd13.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.22% · n=34
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.6% 7D: 3.5% 15D: 1.6% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Guarani de Paripueira (W) – Sao Jose SP (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 13.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.22% across 34 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate12.5%
Profit+5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Thalwil - FC Zurich13.004.43%
LOSSEastern United Reserves - Adelaide Olympic Reserves13.004.43%
LOSSKF Ramiz Sadiku - KF Feronikeli13.003.19%
LOSSRaja Beni Mellal - WAC Casablanca13.004.78%
WINAtletico Junior de David - Bambanes FC13.004.78%
LOSSGuaynabo Gol SC - Puerto Rico Surf SC13.004.78%
LOSSIbis SC U20 - Sport Recife U2013.004.22%
Pick
1 @ 13.00
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.22% • n=34
Start
Started 72d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 73d 1h ago
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