Model: TIPPSH

Guarani vs Ituano

PREDICTION

@ 1.72

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 54d 15h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 55d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Guarani. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Guarani

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.65First seen

Current1.72Now

Max odds1.80Highest point

Min odds1.65Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GuaraniHOME

ItuanoAWAY

LWWDD

Recent form

WWLDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

6.00

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

5.20

Home splitL-W-D-W1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-D-D-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Brazil Serie C (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.72

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Guarani is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 27.2% 7D: 14.2% 15D: -4.7% 30D: -1.5%

Model insight

Guarani – Ituano Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 1.72

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 54d 15h ago

Updated

Updated 55d 16h ago