Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta

Model: TIPPSH

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.40
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 27, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4d
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.98% · n=21
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Tel Aviv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Tel AvivGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.003 | A: 0.088

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.00First seen
Current6.05Now
Max odds6.05Highest point
Min odds5.49Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Tel AvivHOME
VS
AtalantaAWAY
DWLWD
Recent form
DWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.80
Shots on target for
5.80
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
4.40
Home splitW-W-L-W-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-W-L2.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.98% based on n=21 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.98% · n=21
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Hapoel Tel Aviv. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Hapoel Tel Aviv is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 43.3% 7D: 35.0% 15D: 4.1% 30D: 6.3%
Model insight

Hapoel Tel Aviv – Atalanta Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.98% across 21 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample4
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-4.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPhilippines - Thailand5.562.54%
LOSSDundee Utd - Rangers5.522.98%
LOSSNingbo Professional FC - Chongqing Tonglianglong5.502.54%
LOSSKMG Holdings - Veroskronos Tsuno5.312.98%
Pick
1 @ 5.40
Kickoff
Ago 27, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.98% • n=21
Start
Starts in 4d
Updated
Updated 13m ago
Torna in alto