Hercules – Atletico Madrid B

Model: TIPPSH

Hercules vs Atletico Madrid B

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 8:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 1d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hercules. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HerculesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.076 | A: -0.132

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.26Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HerculesHOME
VS
Atletico Madrid BAWAY
LLDLD
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
0.40
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.80
Shots on target for
4.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.40
Home splitL-L-D-D-D0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 19.7% 7D: 14.1% 15D: 15.6% 30D: 8.1%
Model insight

Hercules – Atletico Madrid B Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample319
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-17.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSIspe FC - Mahar United2.312.49%
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LOSSFredensborg (W) - Odense BK II (W)2.073.37%
WINVonds Ichihara (W) - Nittaidai FC (W)2.103.37%
LOSSSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) - Veertien Mie (W)2.302.49%
LOSSMahasarakham SBT FC - Songkhla FC2.253.15%
LOSSAvispa Fukuoka - Mito Hollyhock2.083.37%
LOSSLimanovia Limanowa - Luban Maniowy2.342.49%
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Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 8:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323
Start
Started 1d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 16h ago
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