Hercules vs Atletico Madrid B
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Hercules. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: HerculesGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.076 | A: -0.132Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Hercules – Atletico Madrid B Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Ispe FC - Mahar United | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Getafe - Celta Vigo | 2.49 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Fredensborg (W) - Odense BK II (W) | 2.07 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Vonds Ichihara (W) - Nittaidai FC (W) | 2.10 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | SEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) - Veertien Mie (W) | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Mahasarakham SBT FC - Songkhla FC | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Avispa Fukuoka - Mito Hollyhock | 2.08 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Limanovia Limanowa - Luban Maniowy | 2.34 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova - Goias | 1 | 2.04 | 3.37% | 11 Sep 00:30 |
| Kamaz Nab Chelny - FK Chelyabinsk | 1 | 2.26 | 3.15% | 11 Sep 16:00 |