Hertha Wels – Sturm Graz II

Model: TIPPSH

Hertha Wels vs Sturm Graz II

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.57
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 63d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hertha Wels. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hertha Wels

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.44First seen
Current2.57Now
Max odds2.64Highest point
Min odds2.44Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hertha WelsHOME
VS
Sturm Graz IIAWAY
WLWWD
Recent form
LLLDL
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.80
Shots on target for
4.40
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
6.00
Home splitW-D-L1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.57. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.54% based on n=136 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Austria 2. Liga (at). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.57
V2 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 BandNONEROI -1.54% · n=136
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Hertha Wels has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Hertha Wels has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -16.4% 7D: -17.0% 15D: -4.6% 30D: 9.0%
Model insight

Hertha Wels – Sturm Graz II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.57. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample67
Win Rate34.3%
Profit-8.98u
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Pick
1 @ 2.57
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 63d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 64d 10h ago
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