Hogaborgs BK – Osters IF

Model: TipTrombaGt15H

Hogaborgs BK vs Osters IF

PREDICTION
1
@ 15.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 19, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 6h 47m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.97% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 51m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hogaborgs BK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hogaborgs BKGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.081

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds9.40First seen
Current20.00Now
Max odds22.00Highest point
Min odds9.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hogaborgs BKHOME
VS
Osters IFAWAY
LW
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.50
0.80
Shots on target for
N/A
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
N/A
5.40
Home splitL-W1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-W2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 15.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.97% based on n=11 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Cup Qualification (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd15.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.97% · n=11
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 57.0% 7D: -3.6% 15D: -1.0% 30D: 3.3%
Model insight

Hogaborgs BK – Osters IF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 15.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.97% across 11 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFK Ataka - FK Siauliai15.003.97%
Pick
1 @ 15.00
Kickoff
Ago 19, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.97% • n=11
Start
Started 6h 47m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 51m ago
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