HPS (W) – HJK (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

HPS (W) vs HJK (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 54d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HPS (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HPS (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current5.50Now
Max odds5.50Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HPS (W)HOME
VS
HJK (W)AWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
6.20
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.60
Home splitL-W-W1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitW-L1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.63% based on n=103 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.63% · n=103
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.63% · n=103
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 12.0% 7D: 9.8% 15D: 2.4% 30D: 0.4%
Model insight

HPS (W) – HJK (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.63% and 3.63%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate9.1%
Profit-5.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCancun FC - Unam Pumas5.502.00%
LOSSLidköpings FK - Skovde AIK5.502.00%
WINUniversitario De Vinto - Bolivar5.253.63%
LOSSVevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle5.503.63%
LOSSFC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W)5.503.63%
LOSSPSG (W) - Lyon (W)5.503.29%
LOSSSellos Colombianos U19 - Atletico Nacional Medellin U195.503.63%
LOSSPinheirense EC U20 - Clube do Remo U205.503.63%
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.63% • n=103
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.63% • n=103
Start
Started 54d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 6h ago
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