Model: TipTromba6H
HPS (W) – HJK (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 9d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | HPS (W) | HJK (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-W | W-W-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.20 for / 2.60 against | 6.20 for / 3.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.33 for / 2.33 against (home) | 4.50 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current5.50Now
Max odds5.50Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
HPS (W) – HJK (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.63% and 3.63%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate11.1%
Profit-3.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Universitario De Vinto - Bolivar | 5.25 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Vevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | FC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | PSG (W) - Lyon (W) | 5.50 | 3.29% |
| LOSS | Sellos Colombianos U19 - Atletico Nacional Medellin U19 | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Pinheirense EC U20 - Clube do Remo U20 | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | ACE - Pargas IF | 5.50 | 3.63% |
| LOSS | Angelholm - Trelleborgs FF | 5.25 | 3.63% |
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.63% • n=103
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.63% • n=103
Start
Started 9d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 21h ago