HPS (W) – HJK (W)

Model: TipTromba6H

HPS (W) – HJK (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 9d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.63% · n=103
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 21h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric HPS (W) HJK (W)
Last 5 form L-W-W-W-W W-W-L-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.80 2.60
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.20
Home/Away form L-W-W (home) W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded 1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 6.20 for / 2.60 against 6.20 for / 3.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 6.33 for / 2.33 against (home) 4.50 for / 4.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current5.50Now
Max odds5.50Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

HPS (W) – HJK (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.63% and 3.63%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample9
Win Rate11.1%
Profit-3.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINUniversitario De Vinto - Bolivar5.253.63%
LOSSVevey Sports 05 - FC Bulle5.503.63%
LOSSFC Prague (W) - Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W)5.503.63%
LOSSPSG (W) - Lyon (W)5.503.29%
LOSSSellos Colombianos U19 - Atletico Nacional Medellin U195.503.63%
LOSSPinheirense EC U20 - Clube do Remo U205.503.63%
LOSSACE - Pargas IF5.503.63%
LOSSAngelholm - Trelleborgs FF5.253.63%
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.63% • n=103
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.63% • n=103
Start
Started 9d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 21h ago
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