IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) – Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Model: TipTromba45H

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.33
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 2
StartStarted 93d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.10% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.10% · n=11
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 93d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.51Now
Max odds4.51Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)HOME
VS
Vikingur Reykjavik (W)AWAY
WW
Recent form
LW
Avg goals scored
3.50
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.50
2.00
Shots on target for
9.50
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
7.50
Home splitW3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.33. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.10% based on n=11 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.33
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.10% · n=11
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.10% · n=11
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -19.1% 7D: 11.4% 15D: 2.2% 30D: 14.1%
Model insight

IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) – Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.33. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.10% and 5.10%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate9.1%
Profit-6.90u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBury - Radcliffe FC4.106.51%
LOSSVysocina Jihlava - Pardubice4.206.51%
LOSSNotts County - Nottm Forest4.336.48%
LOSSAnnan Athletic - Queen's Park4.206.51%
LOSSMelbourne Victory NPL (W) - Bulleen Lions (W)4.336.48%
LOSSCA Atlas - Berazategui4.205.21%
LOSSPVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City4.105.21%
LOSSApotheos - Columbus United FC4.205.21%
Pick
1 @ 4.33
Kickoff
Mag 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.10% • n=11
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.10% • n=11
Start
Started 93d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 93d 20h ago
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