JyTy – IFK Mariehamn II

Model: TipTromba6H

JyTy vs IFK Mariehamn II

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.22% · n=129
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.22% · n=129
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JyTy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JyTy

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

66/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.10First seen
Current5.64Now
Max odds5.64Highest point
Min odds4.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JyTyHOME
VS
IFK Mariehamn IIAWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
WWWWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
5.40
5.25
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.00
Home splitW-L-D-L-L1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.22% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.50
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.22% · n=129
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.22% · n=129
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 43.6% 7D: 4.2% 15D: 5.6% 30D: 19.7%
Model insight

JyTy – IFK Mariehamn II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.22% and 5.22%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate10.0%
Profit-4.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Deisenhofen - 1860 Munich5.255.22%
LOSSBoston Utd - Lincoln City5.255.22%
LOSSHelmond Sport - AEK Larnaca5.505.22%
LOSSIllawarra Stingrays (W) - Sydney University (W)5.505.22%
LOSSUniversity of Queensland - Newmarket5.505.22%
LOSSArmadale U23 - Fremantle City FC U235.505.22%
LOSSCong An Ha Noi II - CLB Bong da Hue5.255.22%
WINAstra Ustronie Morskie - Iskierka Szczecin5.505.22%
Pick
1 @ 5.50
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.22% • n=129
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.22% • n=129
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 5m ago
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