Kagoshima United – Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Model: TIPPSH

Kagoshima United vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 02, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 15h 30m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 50m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kagoshima United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kagoshima UnitedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.080 | A: -0.115

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.47First seen
Current2.67Now
Max odds2.67Highest point
Min odds2.31Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kagoshima UnitedHOME
VS
Hokkaido Consadole SapporoAWAY
LWWDW
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.20
Shots on target for
6.00
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
3.40
Home splitL-D-W-W-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-D0.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.68. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League Cup (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.68
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Kagoshima United. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Kagoshima United has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 2.0% 7D: -0.2% 15D: 15.8% 30D: 6.6%
Model insight

Kagoshima United – Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample135
Win Rate43.0%
Profit+18.68u
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WINCentral Espanol Reserves - Club Atletico Progreso Reserves2.512.49%
LOSSBohemians 1905 - FK Jablonec2.854.53%
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WINFC Zurich II - FC Schaffhausen2.924.53%
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Pick
1 @ 2.68
Kickoff
Set 02, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 15h 30m ago
Updated
Updated 17h 50m ago
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