Model: TipTromba5H
KF Ferizaj – KF Dukagjini
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 21, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 5d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.69% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | KF Ferizaj | KF Dukagjini |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-D-D-L | W-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-L-D-D (home) | W-D-W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.60 for / 4.40 against | 5.40 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.75 for / 2.25 against (home) | 5.40 for / 4.20 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor KF Ferizaj. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current4.75Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
KF Ferizaj – KF Dukagjini Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.69% and 7.69%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+8.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Central Espanol Reserves - Nacional de Montevideo Reserves | 4.50 | 6.25% |
| WIN | NK Kamen Podbablje - NK Zagora | 4.75 | 7.59% |
| LOSS | Throttur Reykjavik U19 - Breidablik/Augnablik U19 | 4.75 | 7.59% |
| WIN | SalPa 2 - Peimari United | 4.75 | 7.59% |
| LOSS | Berazategui Reserves - Yupanqui Reserves | 4.75 | 7.59% |
| LOSS | HYH Export Sebaco FC - Diriangen | 4.50 | 7.06% |
Pick
1 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Mag 21, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.69% • n=45
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.69% • n=45
Start
Started 5d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 5d 4h ago