KFR Hvolsvöllur – Alftanes

Model: TipTromba9H

KFR Hvolsvöllur vs Alftanes

PREDICTION
1
@ 8.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 17, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 14h
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.13% · n=103
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KFR Hvolsvöllur. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KFR Hvolsvöllur

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.80First seen
Current8.00Now
Max odds8.00Highest point
Min odds5.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KFR HvolsvöllurHOME
VS
AlftanesAWAY
LLLDD
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.40
Defensive weakness
3.40
1.80
Shots on target for
5.80
6.40
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
2.20
Home splitL-D-W-L-L2.80 scored / 3.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-W-W2.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 8.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.13% based on n=103 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd8.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.13% · n=103
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -67.6% 7D: 7.7% 15D: 11.0% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

KFR Hvolsvöllur – Alftanes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 8.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba9H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.13% across 103 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate4.3%
Profit-15.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSAugnablik Kopavogur (W) - IF Vestri (W)8.00-1.13%
LOSSDrøbak/Frogn - Rade IL8.00-1.13%
LOSSMahaut Soca Strikers - Dublanc FC8.00-0.06%
LOSSZhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Fujian Nanan (W)8.00-1.13%
LOSSKB Breidholt - Hamrarnir8.00-1.13%
LOSSSE Belford Roxo - Resende RJ8.00-1.13%
LOSSIFK Umeå - Täfteå IK8.00-1.13%
LOSSGuatemala - Czechia8.00-0.06%
Pick
1 @ 8.00
Kickoff
Lug 17, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.13% • n=103
Start
Starts in 2d 14h
Updated
Updated 44m ago
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